Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.038354 0.041469 0.044741 0.048441 0.052514 0.056867 0.061881
2025-03-16 0.032647 0.036926 0.041671 0.047344 0.053970 0.061494 0.070731
2025-03-23 0.029088 0.034025 0.039727 0.046841 0.055539 0.065903 0.079296
2025-03-30 0.026464 0.031796 0.038158 0.046376 0.056810 0.069750 0.087220
2025-04-06 0.024159 0.029673 0.036432 0.045420 0.057202 0.072322 0.093523
2025-04-13 0.022887 0.028687 0.035975 0.045932 0.059383 0.077216 0.103151
2025-04-20 0.021597 0.027553 0.035203 0.045907 0.060760 0.081038 0.111526
2025-04-27 0.020711 0.026866 0.034936 0.046488 0.062936 0.086039 0.121921
2025-05-04 0.019632 0.025840 0.034126 0.046228 0.063858 0.089261 0.129894
2025-05-11 0.018701 0.024949 0.033430 0.046054 0.064846 0.092589 0.138240
2025-05-18 0.017826 0.024081 0.032703 0.045765 0.065608 0.095581 0.146251
2025-05-25 0.017098 0.023374 0.032157 0.045688 0.066652 0.099035 0.155256
2025-06-01 0.016231 0.022432 0.031230 0.044997 0.066719 0.100983 0.161979
2025-06-08 0.015371 0.021458 0.030204 0.044091 0.066377 0.102229 0.167584
2025-06-15 0.014706 0.020737 0.029513 0.043652 0.066738 0.104628 0.175402
2025-06-22 0.014095 0.020067 0.028861 0.043229 0.067082 0.106996 0.183341
2025-06-29 0.013415 0.019260 0.027960 0.042352 0.066600 0.107886 0.188570
2025-07-06 0.013109 0.019008 0.027899 0.042823 0.068414 0.112902 0.202117
2025-07-13 0.012707 0.018588 0.027552 0.042799 0.069363 0.116422 0.213055
2025-07-20 0.012455 0.018389 0.027544 0.043334 0.071313 0.121893 0.228455
2025-07-27 0.012049 0.017931 0.027096 0.043095 0.071858 0.124770 0.238752
2025-08-03 0.011684 0.017522 0.026709 0.042935 0.072528 0.127918 0.249923
2025-08-10 0.011318 0.017096 0.026276 0.042670 0.072980 0.130664 0.260478